Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Multi Business Group Co. (9619.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$145.73 - $608.38$370.38
Multi-Stage$295.80 - $326.93$311.05
Blended Fair Value$340.72
Current Price$16.80
Upside1,928.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.230.120.160.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.00%-25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.57%0.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.445.273.16
Cash Retained (M)35.6835.6835.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.44-5.27-3.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.2430.4132.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.8312.8312.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.122.372.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.122.372.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.632.883.04
WACC / Discount Rate-0.23%-0.23%-0.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$145.73$370.38$608.38
Upside / Downside767.46%2,104.65%3,521.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.1841.7641.3440.9340.5240.1141.32
Payout Ratio15.41%30.33%45.25%60.16%75.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.5012.6618.7124.6230.4236.1038.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.23%-0.23%-0.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.5712.6912.82
Year 2 PV (M)18.4118.7919.17
Year 3 PV (M)24.0524.8025.55
Year 4 PV (M)29.4830.7031.96
Year 5 PV (M)34.7136.5238.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,674.853,866.214,065.46
Equity Value (M)3,794.083,989.714,193.37
Shares Outstanding (M)12.8312.8312.83
Fair Value$295.80$311.05$326.93
Upside / Downside1,660.71%1,751.50%1,846.01%

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