Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Nofoth Food Products Company (9556.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.30 - $9.24$7.72
Multi-Stage$11.07 - $12.17$11.61
Blended Fair Value$9.67
Current Price$11.80
Upside-18.09%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.120.060.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.00%300.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.01%0.74%0.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.758.595.15
Cash Retained (M)47.2247.2247.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.75-8.59-5.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.4838.6342.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.3683.3683.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.460.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.460.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.660.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.30$7.72$9.24
Upside / Downside-46.57%-34.59%-21.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.7368.0467.3666.6966.0265.3667.32
Payout Ratio31.29%43.04%54.78%66.52%78.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.5129.2836.9044.3651.6758.8362.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)26.7827.0527.32
Year 2 PV (M)30.8531.4932.13
Year 3 PV (M)33.9234.9736.04
Year 4 PV (M)36.1337.6239.17
Year 5 PV (M)37.6139.5741.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)757.87797.33838.42
Equity Value (M)923.15968.031,014.68
Shares Outstanding (M)83.3683.3683.36
Fair Value$11.07$11.61$12.17
Upside / Downside-6.15%-1.59%3.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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