Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

AB&Company Co.,Ltd. (9251.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$590.55 - $884.53$729.99
Multi-Stage$1,150.87 - $1,265.64$1,207.13
Blended Fair Value$968.56
Current Price$960.00
Upside0.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%29.6829.610.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.58%3.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,009.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)397.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)612.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)201.80126.1375.68
Cash Retained (M)612.00612.00612.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-201.80-126.13-75.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)410.20485.88536.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.2214.2214.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.8534.1737.72
LTM Dividend per Share27.9227.9227.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.8534.1737.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.7762.0965.64
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$590.55$729.99$884.53
Upside / Downside-38.48%-23.96%-7.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,009.00998.91988.92979.03969.24959.55988.34
Payout Ratio39.35%49.48%59.61%69.74%79.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)397.00494.23589.47682.76774.13863.59914.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)455.44460.08464.73
Year 2 PV (M)500.57510.84521.21
Year 3 PV (M)534.28550.81567.67
Year 4 PV (M)558.23581.37605.22
Year 5 PV (M)573.87603.76634.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,740.9514,456.4815,201.50
Equity Value (M)16,363.3517,163.3317,995.20
Shares Outstanding (M)14.2214.2214.22
Fair Value$1,150.87$1,207.13$1,265.64
Upside / Downside19.88%25.74%31.84%

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