Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (8984.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$270,346.51 - $841,065.88$433,047.57
Multi-Stage$288,986.34 - $316,349.22$302,413.26
Blended Fair Value$367,730.42
Current Price$128,100.00
Upside187.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.88%16.39%6,421.915,705.995,662.355,836.815,366.695,309.374,371.593,717.863,024.901,450.57
YoY Growth--12.55%0.77%-2.99%8.76%1.08%21.45%17.58%22.91%108.53%3.08%
Dividend Yield--5.01%4.84%4.10%3.63%3.30%3.83%3.12%2.89%2.25%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48,622.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39,721.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,900.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,724.516,077.823,646.69
Cash Retained (M)8,900.738,900.738,900.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,724.51-6,077.82-3,646.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)-823.782,822.915,254.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.614.614.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share-178.53611.771,138.64
LTM Dividend per Share8,608.398,608.398,608.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-178.53611.771,138.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,429.869,220.169,747.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate3.26%4.26%5.26%
Fair Value$270,346.51$433,047.57$841,065.88
Upside / Downside111.04%238.05%556.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48,622.5350,694.4952,854.7455,107.0557,455.3359,903.6961,700.80
Payout Ratio81.69%83.36%85.02%86.68%88.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39,721.8042,256.5944,935.2747,765.5250,755.3853,913.3257,073.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate3.26%4.26%5.26%
Year 1 PV (M)39,303.9439,684.5640,065.19
Year 2 PV (M)38,875.0239,631.6140,395.49
Year 3 PV (M)38,436.1039,563.6140,712.97
Year 4 PV (M)37,988.1839,481.2341,017.87
Year 5 PV (M)37,532.2139,385.0941,310.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,141,338.001,197,683.351,256,232.36
Equity Value (M)1,333,473.441,395,429.451,459,734.31
Shares Outstanding (M)4.614.614.61
Fair Value$288,986.34$302,413.26$316,349.22
Upside / Downside125.59%136.08%146.95%

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