Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Raysum Co., Ltd. (8890.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58,410.93 - $68,817.98$64,492.52
Multi-Stage$14,290.66 - $15,651.71$14,958.63
Blended Fair Value$39,725.57
Current Price$3,420.00
Upside1,061.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.94%0.00%54.7147.115.1659.5160.2563.5246.4535.2328.780.00
YoY Growth--16.12%813.51%-91.33%-1.21%-5.16%36.76%31.85%22.40%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.59%0.46%7.14%6.35%6.26%2.85%3.72%4.08%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,931.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,970.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,961.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,986.201,241.38744.83
Cash Retained (M)4,961.004,961.004,961.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,986.20-1,241.38-744.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,974.803,719.634,216.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.7028.7028.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share103.65129.61146.91
LTM Dividend per Share173.17173.17173.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share103.65129.61146.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend276.83302.78320.08
WACC / Discount Rate5.53%5.53%5.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$58,410.93$64,492.52$68,817.98
Upside / Downside1,607.92%1,785.75%1,912.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,931.0010,576.5211,263.9911,996.1512,775.9013,606.3314,014.52
Payout Ratio50.05%58.04%66.03%74.02%82.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,970.006,138.217,437.298,879.3210,477.3912,245.7012,963.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.53%5.53%5.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,761.935,816.545,871.16
Year 2 PV (M)6,553.406,678.236,804.23
Year 3 PV (M)7,344.427,555.267,770.08
Year 4 PV (M)8,134.998,447.848,769.62
Year 5 PV (M)8,925.109,356.199,803.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)373,412.07391,448.01410,174.23
Equity Value (M)410,131.92429,302.07449,193.10
Shares Outstanding (M)28.7028.7028.70
Fair Value$14,290.66$14,958.63$15,651.71
Upside / Downside317.86%337.39%357.65%

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