Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Mitake Information Corporation (8284.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$197.66 - $895.41$454.80
Multi-Stage$107.71 - $117.53$112.53
Blended Fair Value$283.66
Current Price$63.10
Upside349.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS7.99%0.00%3.493.993.002.353.002.380.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---12.50%33.33%27.28%-21.43%25.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.14%6.38%4.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)185.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7926.1215.67
Cash Retained (M)23.5923.5923.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.79-26.12-15.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)-18.20-2.537.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.4146.4146.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.39-0.050.17
LTM Dividend per Share3.993.993.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.39-0.050.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.603.944.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$197.66$454.80$895.41
Upside / Downside213.24%620.76%1,319.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.96222.54237.01252.41268.82286.29294.88
Payout Ratio88.71%88.97%89.23%89.48%89.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)185.37197.99211.47225.87241.25257.67272.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)182.58184.31186.04
Year 2 PV (M)179.83183.26186.72
Year 3 PV (M)177.13182.21187.39
Year 4 PV (M)174.46181.17188.07
Year 5 PV (M)171.83180.13188.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,113.014,311.674,517.93
Equity Value (M)4,998.835,222.745,454.89
Shares Outstanding (M)46.4146.4146.41
Fair Value$107.71$112.53$117.53
Upside / Downside70.69%78.34%86.26%

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