Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

LINTEC Corporation (7966.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,518.49 - $4,385.63$3,317.25
Multi-Stage$2,569.72 - $2,804.25$2,684.85
Blended Fair Value$3,001.05
Current Price$3,640.00
Upside-17.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.68%7.55%96.0289.8996.0084.2884.1384.1377.6271.1464.6557.12
YoY Growth--6.83%-6.36%13.90%0.18%0.00%8.39%9.11%10.03%13.18%23.24%
Dividend Yield--3.25%2.61%4.23%3.67%3.49%3.29%3.33%2.21%2.41%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,589.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,781.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,808.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,517.801,573.63944.18
Cash Retained (M)5,808.005,808.005,808.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,517.80-1,573.63-944.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,290.204,234.384,863.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.9466.9466.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share49.1563.2672.66
LTM Dividend per Share101.30101.30101.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share49.1563.2672.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend150.45164.55173.96
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Fair Value$2,518.49$3,317.25$4,385.63
Upside / Downside-30.81%-8.87%20.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,589.0013,166.9513,771.4214,403.6515,064.9115,756.5216,229.22
Payout Ratio53.86%61.09%68.32%75.55%82.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,781.008,043.909,408.4610,881.3512,469.6614,180.8715,012.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Year 1 PV (M)7,257.297,327.347,397.40
Year 2 PV (M)7,658.337,806.907,956.90
Year 3 PV (M)7,991.108,224.768,462.94
Year 4 PV (M)8,262.018,585.698,918.78
Year 5 PV (M)8,476.998,894.139,327.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)132,373.95138,887.76145,655.52
Equity Value (M)172,019.66179,726.58187,719.06
Shares Outstanding (M)66.9466.9466.94
Fair Value$2,569.72$2,684.85$2,804.25
Upside / Downside-29.40%-26.24%-22.96%

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