Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

International Ocean Group (7583.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.41 - $83.66$70.10
Multi-Stage$96.05 - $105.68$100.77
Blended Fair Value$85.44
Current Price$87.79
Upside-2.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.020.430.230.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--139.15%86.10%50,390.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.42%0.57%0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)169.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.9721.2312.74
Cash Retained (M)147.38147.38147.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.97-21.23-12.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)113.41126.15134.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.0722.0722.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.145.726.10
LTM Dividend per Share1.021.021.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.145.726.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.166.737.12
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$57.41$70.10$83.66
Upside / Downside-34.60%-20.14%-4.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)169.86168.16166.47164.81163.16161.53166.38
Payout Ratio13.23%28.58%43.94%59.29%74.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.4748.0773.1597.72121.79145.38153.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)43.8544.3044.74
Year 2 PV (M)60.8762.1263.38
Year 3 PV (M)74.1976.4878.82
Year 4 PV (M)84.3587.8591.45
Year 5 PV (M)91.8596.64101.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,764.771,856.671,952.35
Equity Value (M)2,119.892,224.062,332.38
Shares Outstanding (M)22.0722.0722.07
Fair Value$96.05$100.77$105.68
Upside / Downside9.41%14.79%20.38%

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