Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Direct Marketing MiX Inc. (7354.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$207.72 - $304.77$254.43
Multi-Stage$359.90 - $395.99$377.59
Blended Fair Value$316.01
Current Price$310.00
Upside1.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%2.9517.064.752.140.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---82.72%259.12%121.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.09%5.45%0.35%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,265.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)210.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,055.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)253.18158.2494.94
Cash Retained (M)1,055.801,055.801,055.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-253.18-158.24-94.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)802.62897.56960.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.7946.7946.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.1619.1820.54
LTM Dividend per Share4.494.494.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.1619.1820.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend21.6523.6825.03
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$207.72$254.43$304.77
Upside / Downside-32.99%-17.93%-1.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,265.901,253.241,240.711,228.301,216.021,203.861,239.97
Payout Ratio16.60%31.28%45.96%60.64%75.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)210.11391.99570.21744.83915.901,083.471,146.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)358.58362.24365.90
Year 2 PV (M)477.16486.95496.84
Year 3 PV (M)570.17587.80605.79
Year 4 PV (M)641.37667.95695.35
Year 5 PV (M)694.05730.20767.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,096.7714,830.8215,595.14
Equity Value (M)16,838.1017,665.9618,526.84
Shares Outstanding (M)46.7946.7946.79
Fair Value$359.90$377.59$395.99
Upside / Downside16.10%21.80%27.74%

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