Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

CCK Consolidated Holdings Berhad (7035.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.05 - $22.07$7.89
Multi-Stage$2.41 - $2.63$2.52
Blended Fair Value$5.20
Current Price$1.29
Upside303.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS27.43%0.00%0.040.040.010.020.020.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--21.34%178.62%-37.72%14.29%39.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.15%3.44%1.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.768.605.16
Cash Retained (M)16.1016.1016.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.76-8.60-5.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.337.4910.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)620.25620.25620.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.05$7.89$22.07
Upside / Downside214.13%511.41%1,610.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.8273.2978.0683.1388.5394.2997.12
Payout Ratio76.61%79.29%81.97%84.64%87.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.7258.1163.9870.3677.3184.8689.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)53.4053.9054.41
Year 2 PV (M)54.0255.0456.08
Year 3 PV (M)54.5956.1557.75
Year 4 PV (M)55.1157.2259.40
Year 5 PV (M)55.5858.2661.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,222.951,282.021,343.35
Equity Value (M)1,495.631,562.601,632.04
Shares Outstanding (M)620.25620.25620.25
Fair Value$2.41$2.52$2.63
Upside / Downside86.92%95.29%103.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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