Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Thong Guan Industries Berhad (7034.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.40 - $8.74$5.15
Multi-Stage$2.76 - $3.03$2.89
Blended Fair Value$4.02
Current Price$1.17
Upside243.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.72%6.79%0.060.050.060.040.060.040.030.020.040.01
YoY Growth--20.18%-19.73%35.37%-30.18%74.42%28.85%37.10%-49.67%275.26%-63.64%
Dividend Yield--4.89%2.51%2.51%1.84%2.75%2.37%2.17%1.46%1.72%0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.087.554.53
Cash Retained (M)50.0450.0450.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.08-7.55-4.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.9642.4945.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.88400.88400.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate4.42%5.42%6.42%
Fair Value$3.40$5.15$8.74
Upside / Downside190.90%340.35%646.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.3863.6567.1070.7374.5778.6180.97
Payout Ratio17.13%31.70%46.28%60.85%75.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.3420.1831.0543.0456.2470.7574.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate4.42%5.42%6.42%
Year 1 PV (M)18.4918.6618.84
Year 2 PV (M)26.0626.5627.07
Year 3 PV (M)33.1034.0635.04
Year 4 PV (M)39.6241.1642.75
Year 5 PV (M)45.6647.8950.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)944.93991.051,038.96
Equity Value (M)1,107.861,159.391,212.86
Shares Outstanding (M)400.88400.88400.88
Fair Value$2.76$2.89$3.03
Upside / Downside136.20%147.19%158.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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