Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Neousys Technology Inc. (6922.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.84 - $70.41$60.01
Multi-Stage$78.71 - $86.12$82.35
Blended Fair Value$71.18
Current Price$196.00
Upside-63.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%3.504.993.112.151.490.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---29.84%60.68%44.74%43.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.12%4.44%2.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)201.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)123.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.2925.1815.11
Cash Retained (M)77.9577.9577.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.29-25.18-15.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.6652.7762.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1026.1026.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.442.022.41
LTM Dividend per Share4.734.734.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.442.022.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.176.757.14
WACC / Discount Rate10.14%10.14%10.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$49.84$60.01$70.41
Upside / Downside-74.57%-69.38%-64.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)201.43199.41197.42195.45193.49191.56197.30
Payout Ratio61.30%67.04%72.78%78.52%84.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)123.48133.69143.69153.47163.04172.40182.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.14%10.14%10.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)120.16121.39122.61
Year 2 PV (M)116.07118.45120.86
Year 3 PV (M)111.42114.87118.38
Year 4 PV (M)106.39110.80115.34
Year 5 PV (M)101.11106.38111.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,499.561,577.651,658.95
Equity Value (M)2,054.722,149.532,248.01
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1026.1026.10
Fair Value$78.71$82.35$86.12
Upside / Downside-59.84%-57.99%-56.06%

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