Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Greenyn Biotechnology Co., Ltd (6846.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$89.56 - $184.79$125.89
Multi-Stage$84.67 - $92.40$88.46
Blended Fair Value$107.18
Current Price$78.30
Upside36.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS57.24%0.00%3.293.337.001.691.050.340.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.36%-52.44%314.47%61.00%207.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.13%4.17%6.20%2.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.6817.9210.75
Cash Retained (M)46.2546.2546.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.68-17.92-10.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.5728.3235.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.5828.5828.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.610.991.24
LTM Dividend per Share3.403.403.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.610.991.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.014.394.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Fair Value$89.56$125.89$184.79
Upside / Downside14.38%60.78%136.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.39150.67158.31166.35174.79183.67189.18
Payout Ratio67.75%72.20%76.65%81.10%85.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.14108.78121.34134.91149.53165.30174.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Year 1 PV (M)99.08100.03100.99
Year 2 PV (M)100.68102.62104.59
Year 3 PV (M)101.96104.92107.95
Year 4 PV (M)102.94106.95111.08
Year 5 PV (M)103.65108.72114.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,911.602,005.212,102.46
Equity Value (M)2,419.902,528.472,641.06
Shares Outstanding (M)28.5828.5828.58
Fair Value$84.67$88.46$92.40
Upside / Downside8.13%12.98%18.01%

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