Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

MARTAS Precision Slide Co.,Ltd (6705.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.42 - $43.58$36.86
Multi-Stage$49.24 - $54.02$51.58
Blended Fair Value$44.22
Current Price$59.00
Upside-25.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-15.14%0.00%0.411.410.000.940.790.941.070.941.100.00
YoY Growth---70.67%0.00%-100.00%18.85%-16.00%-12.00%13.97%-15.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%2.88%0.00%3.36%2.98%3.20%3.22%1.97%2.32%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.949.975.98
Cash Retained (M)46.6546.6546.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.94-9.97-5.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.7036.6840.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.1318.1318.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.692.022.24
LTM Dividend per Share1.821.821.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.692.022.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.523.854.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.33%9.33%9.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$30.42$36.86$43.58
Upside / Downside-48.44%-37.52%-26.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.7278.9278.1377.3576.5875.8178.09
Payout Ratio41.49%51.19%60.89%70.60%80.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.0840.4047.5854.6161.4968.2372.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.33%9.33%9.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36.5836.9537.33
Year 2 PV (M)39.0039.8040.61
Year 3 PV (M)40.5341.7843.06
Year 4 PV (M)41.3243.0344.80
Year 5 PV (M)41.5143.6745.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)693.67729.79767.40
Equity Value (M)892.61935.03979.12
Shares Outstanding (M)18.1318.1318.13
Fair Value$49.24$51.58$54.02
Upside / Downside-16.54%-12.57%-8.45%

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