Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Trusval Technology Co., Ltd. (6667.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$268.96 - $632.45$395.67
Multi-Stage$200.82 - $218.81$209.65
Blended Fair Value$302.66
Current Price$273.00
Upside10.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS24.34%0.00%6.134.022.481.401.492.060.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--52.36%62.34%77.11%-5.87%-27.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.33%2.37%3.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)603.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)394.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)208.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)120.6575.4145.24
Cash Retained (M)208.42208.42208.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-120.65-75.41-45.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)87.77133.01163.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.2347.2347.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.862.823.46
LTM Dividend per Share8.368.368.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.862.823.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.2211.1811.82
WACC / Discount Rate9.51%9.51%9.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$268.96$395.67$632.45
Upside / Downside-1.48%44.94%131.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)603.25642.46684.22728.69776.06826.50851.30
Payout Ratio65.45%70.36%75.27%80.18%85.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)394.83452.04515.01584.27660.35743.85787.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.51%9.51%9.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)408.91412.79416.66
Year 2 PV (M)421.44429.46437.57
Year 3 PV (M)432.49444.91457.56
Year 4 PV (M)442.18459.18476.67
Year 5 PV (M)450.57472.34494.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,328.897,682.878,050.41
Equity Value (M)9,484.489,901.5610,333.81
Shares Outstanding (M)47.2347.2347.23
Fair Value$200.82$209.65$218.81
Upside / Downside-26.44%-23.20%-19.85%

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