Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PHC Holdings Corporation (6523.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$454.19 - $715.98$574.04
Multi-Stage$1,172.71 - $1,289.60$1,230.01
Blended Fair Value$902.02
Current Price$979.00
Upside-7.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%38.8771.4872.710.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---45.62%-1.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.26%6.10%4.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,825.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,297.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)528.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,165.00728.13436.88
Cash Retained (M)528.00528.00528.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,165.00-728.13-436.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)-637.00-200.1391.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)126.47126.47126.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share-5.04-1.580.72
LTM Dividend per Share41.8841.8841.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share-5.04-1.580.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend36.8540.3042.60
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$454.19$574.04$715.98
Upside / Downside-53.61%-41.37%-26.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,825.005,766.755,709.085,651.995,595.475,539.525,705.70
Payout Ratio90.94%90.75%90.56%90.37%90.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,297.005,233.245,170.225,107.955,046.404,985.575,277.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,889.434,939.324,989.22
Year 2 PV (M)4,513.204,605.784,699.30
Year 3 PV (M)4,165.914,294.744,426.20
Year 4 PV (M)3,845.324,004.694,168.96
Year 5 PV (M)3,549.393,734.213,926.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,347.75133,979.04140,883.75
Equity Value (M)148,311.00155,557.79163,094.08
Shares Outstanding (M)126.47126.47126.47
Fair Value$1,172.71$1,230.01$1,289.60
Upside / Downside19.79%25.64%31.73%

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