Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

NSK Ltd. (6471.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,178.78 - $6,732.39$2,219.90
Multi-Stage$3,247.01 - $3,588.26$3,414.19
Blended Fair Value$2,817.05
Current Price$764.40
Upside268.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-5.25%3.26%31.9130.6631.3820.9220.9141.7743.8335.5644.6236.42
YoY Growth--4.05%-2.27%49.98%0.06%-49.94%-4.71%23.27%-20.31%22.51%57.32%
Dividend Yield--4.70%3.86%3.42%2.87%2.23%5.23%4.40%3.11%3.18%4.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,997.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,618.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,379.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,599.402,249.631,349.78
Cash Retained (M)1,379.001,379.001,379.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,599.40-2,249.63-1,349.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,220.40-870.6329.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)490.38490.38490.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share-4.53-1.780.06
LTM Dividend per Share33.8933.8933.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share-4.53-1.780.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend29.3632.1133.95
WACC / Discount Rate-0.42%-0.42%-0.42%
Growth Rate-2.84%-1.84%-0.84%
Fair Value$1,178.78$2,219.90$6,732.39
Upside / Downside54.21%190.41%780.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,997.0017,665.6517,340.4117,021.1516,707.7716,400.1616,892.16
Payout Ratio92.34%91.87%91.40%90.94%90.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,618.0016,229.4515,849.5815,478.1915,115.1014,760.1415,625.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.42%-0.42%-0.42%
Growth Rate-2.84%-1.84%-0.84%
Year 1 PV (M)16,132.0616,298.1016,464.13
Year 2 PV (M)15,659.9215,983.9416,311.27
Year 3 PV (M)15,201.2015,675.4216,159.40
Year 4 PV (M)14,755.5315,372.4616,008.53
Year 5 PV (M)14,322.5515,074.9415,858.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,516,200.691,595,850.351,678,812.73
Equity Value (M)1,592,271.951,674,255.201,759,614.70
Shares Outstanding (M)490.38490.38490.38
Fair Value$3,247.01$3,414.19$3,588.26
Upside / Downside324.78%346.65%369.42%

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