Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Symtek Automation Asia Co., Ltd. (6438.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$194.03 - $552.37$303.04
Multi-Stage$135.63 - $147.91$141.66
Blended Fair Value$222.35
Current Price$177.00
Upside25.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.92%2.52%4.228.005.603.231.132.012.881.312.011.64
YoY Growth---47.31%42.81%73.62%186.67%-44.11%-30.00%118.94%-34.69%22.50%-50.00%
Dividend Yield--2.29%6.52%5.41%2.68%1.14%4.84%4.70%1.64%3.64%3.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)630.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)383.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)246.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126.0678.7947.27
Cash Retained (M)246.96246.96246.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-126.06-78.79-47.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)120.90168.17199.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.3680.3680.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.502.092.49
LTM Dividend per Share4.774.774.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.502.092.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.286.867.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.91%8.91%8.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$194.03$303.04$552.37
Upside / Downside9.62%71.21%212.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)630.32671.29714.93761.40810.89863.60889.50
Payout Ratio60.82%66.66%72.49%78.33%84.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)383.36447.46518.26596.39682.48777.24822.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.91%8.91%8.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)406.98410.84414.70
Year 2 PV (M)428.75436.92445.16
Year 3 PV (M)448.75461.64474.76
Year 4 PV (M)467.08485.05503.52
Year 5 PV (M)483.82507.19531.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,663.259,081.699,516.14
Equity Value (M)10,898.6411,383.3211,885.74
Shares Outstanding (M)80.3680.3680.36
Fair Value$135.63$141.66$147.91
Upside / Downside-23.37%-19.97%-16.43%

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