Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sinopower Semiconductor, Inc. (6435.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$150.27 - $342.08$218.68
Multi-Stage$161.95 - $177.27$169.47
Blended Fair Value$194.07
Current Price$103.50
Upside87.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.70%5.18%2.762.656.364.403.766.123.062.622.622.31
YoY Growth--4.20%-58.33%44.52%17.16%-38.57%100.00%16.67%0.00%13.42%38.69%
Dividend Yield--2.59%2.54%6.73%3.01%3.13%9.40%2.80%2.77%3.79%6.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)285.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)161.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.1435.7121.43
Cash Retained (M)124.53124.53124.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.14-35.71-21.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)67.4088.82103.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.8437.8437.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.782.352.72
LTM Dividend per Share4.264.264.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.782.352.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.046.616.98
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Fair Value$150.27$218.68$342.08
Upside / Downside45.19%111.28%230.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)285.68297.63310.08323.05336.56350.64361.16
Payout Ratio56.41%63.13%69.85%76.56%83.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)161.15187.88216.57247.34280.29315.58334.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate3.18%4.18%5.18%
Year 1 PV (M)173.37175.05176.73
Year 2 PV (M)184.41188.00191.63
Year 3 PV (M)194.34200.04205.86
Year 4 PV (M)203.22211.22219.44
Year 5 PV (M)211.13221.56232.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,161.685,416.705,681.70
Equity Value (M)6,128.166,412.586,707.77
Shares Outstanding (M)37.8437.8437.84
Fair Value$161.95$169.47$177.27
Upside / Downside56.47%63.74%71.27%

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