Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Amazing Microelectronic Corp. (6411.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.42 - $49.45$40.40
Multi-Stage$73.54 - $80.79$77.10
Blended Fair Value$58.75
Current Price$72.70
Upside-19.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-4.85%0.00%2.453.246.674.633.873.140.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---24.30%-51.49%44.00%19.61%23.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.22%3.08%5.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)363.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)311.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)72.6245.3927.23
Cash Retained (M)51.7951.7951.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-72.62-45.39-27.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-20.836.4024.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)99.3099.3099.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.210.060.25
LTM Dividend per Share3.133.133.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.210.060.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.933.203.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-2.12%-1.12%-0.12%
Fair Value$32.42$40.40$49.45
Upside / Downside-55.41%-44.43%-31.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)363.08359.00354.97350.98347.03343.13353.42
Payout Ratio85.74%86.59%87.44%88.29%89.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)311.30310.86310.39309.89309.37308.82326.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-2.12%-1.12%-0.12%
Year 1 PV (M)288.37291.32294.27
Year 2 PV (M)267.11272.60278.14
Year 3 PV (M)247.39255.06262.87
Year 4 PV (M)229.11238.62248.42
Year 5 PV (M)212.16223.22234.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,058.786,374.686,703.62
Equity Value (M)7,302.937,655.508,022.06
Shares Outstanding (M)99.3099.3099.30
Fair Value$73.54$77.10$80.79
Upside / Downside1.16%6.05%11.12%

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