Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Daikin Industries,Ltd. (6367.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22,018.68 - $58,683.59$33,717.30
Multi-Stage$15,244.12 - $16,644.99$15,931.88
Blended Fair Value$24,824.59
Current Price$17,080.00
Upside45.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.14%16.78%314.62259.64209.77169.76159.44169.71144.72134.71124.62114.55
YoY Growth--21.17%23.78%23.56%6.47%-6.05%17.27%7.43%8.09%8.79%71.74%
Dividend Yield--1.85%1.17%0.72%0.78%0.77%0.98%1.00%1.02%1.09%1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)274,033.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)96,754.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)177,279.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54,806.6034,254.1320,552.48
Cash Retained (M)177,279.00177,279.00177,279.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-54,806.60-34,254.13-20,552.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)122,472.40143,024.88156,726.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)293.03293.03293.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share417.95488.09534.85
LTM Dividend per Share330.19330.19330.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share417.95488.09534.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend748.14818.28865.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22,018.68$33,717.30$58,683.59
Upside / Downside28.91%97.41%243.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)274,033.00291,845.15310,815.08331,018.06352,534.23375,448.96386,712.43
Payout Ratio35.31%46.25%57.18%68.12%79.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)96,754.00134,966.53177,737.91225,499.34278,718.80337,904.06357,709.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)122,564.70123,726.45124,888.20
Year 2 PV (M)146,574.60149,366.43152,184.60
Year 3 PV (M)168,874.17173,721.94178,661.61
Year 4 PV (M)189,549.89196,839.45204,337.26
Year 5 PV (M)208,684.41218,763.95229,229.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,630,720.513,806,085.673,988,162.46
Equity Value (M)4,466,968.284,668,503.884,877,463.38
Shares Outstanding (M)293.03293.03293.03
Fair Value$15,244.12$15,931.88$16,644.99
Upside / Downside-10.75%-6.72%-2.55%

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