Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Motech Industries Inc. (6244.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SolarSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.69 - $2.28$1.99
Multi-Stage$4.06 - $4.46$4.26
Blended Fair Value$3.12
Current Price$17.45
Upside-82.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-5.58%0.320.440.180.180.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---28.89%145.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.58%1.61%0.49%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)141.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)139.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.2917.6810.61
Cash Retained (M)2.132.132.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.29-17.68-10.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)-26.16-15.55-8.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)391.73391.73391.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate-7.58%-6.58%-5.58%
Fair Value$1.69$1.99$2.28
Upside / Downside-90.33%-88.59%-86.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)141.46132.15123.46115.33107.74100.65103.67
Payout Ratio98.50%96.80%95.10%93.40%91.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)139.34127.92117.40107.7298.8090.5895.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate-7.58%-6.58%-5.58%
Year 1 PV (M)116.91118.18119.44
Year 2 PV (M)98.07100.20102.36
Year 3 PV (M)82.2384.9387.69
Year 4 PV (M)68.9371.9775.10
Year 5 PV (M)57.7660.9664.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,166.111,230.581,297.87
Equity Value (M)1,590.021,666.811,746.74
Shares Outstanding (M)391.73391.73391.73
Fair Value$4.06$4.26$4.46
Upside / Downside-76.74%-75.62%-74.45%

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