Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

All Ring Tech Co., Ltd. (6187.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$309.18 - $664.17$440.92
Multi-Stage$238.76 - $260.03$249.21
Blended Fair Value$345.06
Current Price$384.00
Upside-10.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.76%3.02%1.342.573.772.511.292.662.692.601.761.45
YoY Growth---47.74%-31.87%50.00%95.51%-51.61%-1.09%3.33%48.07%21.35%45.19%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.97%5.56%1.89%1.12%7.70%5.84%3.77%2.42%2.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,577.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,023.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)554.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)315.56197.23118.34
Cash Retained (M)554.32554.32554.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-315.56-197.23-118.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)238.76357.09435.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.2497.2497.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.463.674.48
LTM Dividend per Share10.5310.5310.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.463.674.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.9814.2015.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$309.18$440.92$664.17
Upside / Downside-19.48%14.82%72.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,577.821,680.381,789.601,905.932,029.812,161.752,226.60
Payout Ratio64.87%69.89%74.92%79.95%84.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,023.501,174.491,340.781,523.731,724.801,945.572,059.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,058.371,068.401,078.44
Year 2 PV (M)1,088.771,109.511,130.45
Year 3 PV (M)1,115.011,147.011,179.63
Year 4 PV (M)1,137.361,181.101,226.09
Year 5 PV (M)1,156.101,211.941,269.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,662.1118,515.2019,400.94
Equity Value (M)23,217.7224,233.1725,285.45
Shares Outstanding (M)97.2497.2497.24
Fair Value$238.76$249.21$260.03
Upside / Downside-37.82%-35.10%-32.28%

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