Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

ATE Energy International Co., Ltd. (6179.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.86 - $60.76$39.95
Multi-Stage$123.97 - $136.93$130.32
Blended Fair Value$85.13
Current Price$32.00
Upside166.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-15.36%0.00%0.270.000.801.160.540.620.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-31.15%115.58%-13.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.12%0.00%2.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)186.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)115.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)71.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.3323.3314.00
Cash Retained (M)71.0671.0671.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.33-23.33-14.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.7347.7357.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)120.59120.59120.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.280.400.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.960.960.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.280.400.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.241.351.43
WACC / Discount Rate2.36%2.36%2.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$27.86$39.95$60.76
Upside / Downside-12.95%24.84%89.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)186.65184.78182.94181.11179.30177.50182.83
Payout Ratio61.93%67.54%73.16%78.77%84.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)115.59124.81133.83142.66151.30159.75169.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.36%2.36%2.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)120.70121.93123.17
Year 2 PV (M)125.17127.74130.33
Year 3 PV (M)129.04133.03137.10
Year 4 PV (M)132.36137.84143.50
Year 5 PV (M)135.15142.19149.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,307.6315,052.6615,828.41
Equity Value (M)14,950.0615,715.4016,512.03
Shares Outstanding (M)120.59120.59120.59
Fair Value$123.97$130.32$136.93
Upside / Downside287.42%307.25%327.89%

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