Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

YouYou Foods Co., Ltd. (603697.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.89 - $9.84$7.63
Multi-Stage$8.71 - $9.54$9.12
Blended Fair Value$8.37
Current Price$11.38
Upside-26.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.86%0.00%0.520.330.470.230.060.130.000.100.080.04
YoY Growth--55.26%-28.90%100.87%304.18%-55.51%0.00%-100.00%20.00%125.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.31%4.82%4.47%2.33%0.47%1.25%0.00%1.18%0.99%0.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)209.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)132.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.9726.2315.74
Cash Retained (M)77.3177.3177.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.97-26.23-15.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.3351.0761.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)423.52423.52423.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.120.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.120.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.430.46
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate1.00%2.00%3.00%
Fair Value$5.89$7.63$9.84
Upside / Downside-48.25%-32.98%-13.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)209.87214.07218.35222.72227.18231.72238.68
Payout Ratio63.16%68.53%73.90%79.27%84.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)132.57146.71161.36176.54192.27208.55220.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate1.00%2.00%3.00%
Year 1 PV (M)134.76136.09137.43
Year 2 PV (M)136.15138.86141.59
Year 3 PV (M)136.82140.93145.11
Year 4 PV (M)136.87142.38148.04
Year 5 PV (M)136.37143.26150.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,007.863,159.743,317.70
Equity Value (M)3,688.843,861.264,040.29
Shares Outstanding (M)423.52423.52423.52
Fair Value$8.71$9.12$9.54
Upside / Downside-23.46%-19.89%-16.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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