Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

AIMA Technology Group Co. Ltd. (603529.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.71 - $25.26$21.42
Multi-Stage$27.82 - $30.52$29.14
Blended Fair Value$25.28
Current Price$34.72
Upside-27.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.841.170.230.000.000.000.090.790.270.45
YoY Growth---28.36%411.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-88.69%194.75%-40.53%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.89%3.60%0.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,341.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)795.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,546.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)468.36292.72175.63
Cash Retained (M)1,546.491,546.491,546.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-468.36-292.72-175.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,078.131,253.761,370.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)894.24894.24894.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.211.401.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.211.401.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.102.292.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.71$21.42$25.26
Upside / Downside-48.98%-38.31%-27.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,341.782,318.362,295.182,272.232,249.512,227.012,293.82
Payout Ratio33.96%45.17%56.38%67.58%78.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)795.291,047.181,293.951,535.671,772.442,004.312,121.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)945.88955.53965.18
Year 2 PV (M)1,055.721,077.371,099.25
Year 3 PV (M)1,131.741,166.741,202.45
Year 4 PV (M)1,179.871,228.761,279.17
Year 5 PV (M)1,205.151,267.911,333.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,356.1620,364.0821,413.55
Equity Value (M)24,874.5126,060.3927,292.85
Shares Outstanding (M)894.24894.24894.24
Fair Value$27.82$29.14$30.52
Upside / Downside-19.88%-16.06%-12.09%

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