Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhongjin Gold Corp.,Ltd (600489.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.14 - $180.49$61.13
Multi-Stage$18.68 - $20.42$19.54
Blended Fair Value$40.33
Current Price$21.93
Upside83.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.64%33.72%0.490.280.220.160.020.140.020.020.160.01
YoY Growth--73.85%25.28%39.84%767.73%-87.18%575.16%-14.29%-84.68%2,578.24%-77.27%
Dividend Yield--3.45%2.09%2.12%2.02%0.22%1.78%0.24%0.27%1.38%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,421.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,500.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,921.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)884.33552.71331.63
Cash Retained (M)2,921.382,921.382,921.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-884.33-552.71-331.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,037.052,368.682,589.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,872.154,872.154,872.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.490.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.490.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.790.84
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.14$61.13$180.49
Upside / Downside46.54%178.74%723.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,421.674,709.085,015.175,341.165,688.336,058.076,239.82
Payout Ratio33.93%45.14%56.36%67.57%78.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,500.292,125.882,826.463,609.134,481.615,452.275,771.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,952.031,970.531,989.03
Year 2 PV (M)2,383.082,428.472,474.29
Year 3 PV (M)2,794.132,874.342,956.07
Year 4 PV (M)3,185.853,308.373,434.39
Year 5 PV (M)3,558.903,730.803,909.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)77,147.0180,873.2484,742.08
Equity Value (M)91,020.9995,185.7499,505.13
Shares Outstanding (M)4,872.154,872.154,872.15
Fair Value$18.68$19.54$20.42
Upside / Downside-14.81%-10.91%-6.87%

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