Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Nanjing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (600282.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.28 - $86.56$62.53
Multi-Stage$10.82 - $11.83$11.32
Blended Fair Value$36.92
Current Price$5.25
Upside603.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.51%12.79%0.490.370.420.340.260.250.110.090.120.12
YoY Growth--32.55%-12.14%24.00%29.06%5.61%129.71%23.16%-26.84%0.15%-18.37%
Dividend Yield--10.66%7.90%10.84%9.42%6.81%7.95%2.56%2.02%3.29%4.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,683.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,466.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,216.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)536.73335.46201.27
Cash Retained (M)1,216.711,216.711,216.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-536.73-335.46-201.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)679.98881.251,015.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,165.526,165.526,165.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.140.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.140.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.28$62.53$86.56
Upside / Downside324.42%1,091.00%1,548.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,683.642,858.083,043.853,241.703,452.413,676.823,787.13
Payout Ratio54.66%61.73%68.80%75.86%82.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,466.941,764.282,094.092,459.312,863.173,309.143,503.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,631.111,646.581,662.04
Year 2 PV (M)1,789.891,823.991,858.40
Year 3 PV (M)1,943.401,999.192,056.03
Year 4 PV (M)2,091.762,172.202,254.94
Year 5 PV (M)2,235.092,343.042,455.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)57,032.1459,786.8162,646.91
Equity Value (M)66,723.3969,771.8072,933.45
Shares Outstanding (M)6,165.526,165.526,165.52
Fair Value$10.82$11.32$11.83
Upside / Downside106.13%115.55%125.32%

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