Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Excelliance MOS Corporation (5299.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.06 - $94.09$71.98
Multi-Stage$84.45 - $92.39$88.35
Blended Fair Value$80.16
Current Price$75.00
Upside6.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.09%26.80%4.078.328.094.493.773.501.890.480.180.44
YoY Growth---51.05%2.88%80.21%18.95%7.84%85.46%293.50%161.39%-57.95%15.09%
Dividend Yield--4.71%7.30%6.15%2.35%2.22%4.47%1.85%0.49%0.66%4.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)225.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)211.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.1428.2116.93
Cash Retained (M)14.5214.5214.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.14-28.21-16.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)-30.62-13.70-2.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.3751.3751.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.60-0.27-0.05
LTM Dividend per Share4.114.114.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.60-0.27-0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.523.844.06
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.09%2.09%3.09%
Fair Value$55.06$71.98$94.09
Upside / Downside-26.58%-4.03%25.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)225.71230.41235.22240.13245.14250.25257.76
Payout Ratio93.57%92.85%92.14%91.43%90.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)211.19213.95216.73219.54222.37225.22238.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.09%2.09%3.09%
Year 1 PV (M)197.00198.95200.90
Year 2 PV (M)183.76187.41191.10
Year 3 PV (M)171.39176.53181.77
Year 4 PV (M)159.85166.27172.88
Year 5 PV (M)149.08156.60164.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,477.043,652.463,834.90
Equity Value (M)4,338.134,538.234,745.97
Shares Outstanding (M)51.3751.3751.37
Fair Value$84.45$88.35$92.39
Upside / Downside12.60%17.79%23.19%

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