Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Bridgestone Corporation (5108.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57,328.65 - $67,576.09$63,313.27
Multi-Stage$42,788.29 - $47,058.33$44,882.45
Blended Fair Value$54,097.86
Current Price$6,848.00
Upside689.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.59%9.86%207.48192.26175.96150.97135.31173.98177.75160.63161.72138.86
YoY Growth--7.92%9.26%16.55%11.58%-22.23%-2.13%10.66%-0.67%16.46%71.41%
Dividend Yield--3.46%2.85%3.28%3.17%3.02%5.24%4.10%3.47%3.59%3.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235,798.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)148,590.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)87,208.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47,159.6029,474.7517,684.85
Cash Retained (M)87,208.0087,208.0087,208.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-47,159.60-29,474.75-17,684.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)40,048.4057,733.2569,523.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)676.41676.41676.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share59.2185.35102.78
LTM Dividend per Share219.68219.68219.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share59.2185.35102.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend278.88305.03322.46
WACC / Discount Rate-1.56%-1.56%-1.56%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Fair Value$57,328.65$63,313.27$67,576.09
Upside / Downside737.16%824.55%886.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235,798.00244,717.46253,974.31263,581.32273,551.72283,899.28292,416.26
Payout Ratio63.02%68.41%73.81%79.21%84.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)148,590.00167,417.68187,457.12208,773.06231,433.40255,509.35270,485.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.56%-1.56%-1.56%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Year 1 PV (M)168,424.02170,062.66171,701.31
Year 2 PV (M)189,717.50193,427.08197,172.58
Year 3 PV (M)212,560.53218,825.26225,211.90
Year 4 PV (M)237,048.35246,409.08256,044.35
Year 5 PV (M)263,281.54276,340.88289,913.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,871,276.6329,253,752.5530,690,551.27
Equity Value (M)28,942,308.5730,358,817.5231,830,594.76
Shares Outstanding (M)676.41676.41676.41
Fair Value$42,788.29$44,882.45$47,058.33
Upside / Downside524.83%555.41%587.18%

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