Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gloria Material Technology Corp. (5009.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$227.35 - $587.70$550.76
Multi-Stage$86.51 - $94.54$90.45
Blended Fair Value$320.61
Current Price$34.65
Upside825.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.04%20.99%2.301.900.980.260.330.290.200.260.410.55
YoY Growth--20.53%95.16%280.45%-21.12%11.37%47.08%-24.60%-35.49%-25.31%59.98%
Dividend Yield--5.11%3.84%1.90%1.01%1.91%1.91%0.96%1.27%2.00%3.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,888.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,466.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)421.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)377.72236.08141.65
Cash Retained (M)421.62421.62421.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-377.72-236.08-141.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.90185.54279.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)639.10639.10639.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.290.44
LTM Dividend per Share2.302.302.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.290.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.362.592.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$227.35$550.76$587.70
Upside / Downside556.12%1,489.49%1,596.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,888.612,011.372,142.112,281.342,429.632,587.562,665.18
Payout Ratio77.68%80.14%82.61%85.07%87.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,466.991,611.921,769.501,940.752,126.782,328.802,465.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,497.961,512.161,526.36
Year 2 PV (M)1,528.151,557.251,586.63
Year 3 PV (M)1,557.551,602.261,647.82
Year 4 PV (M)1,586.181,647.181,709.93
Year 5 PV (M)1,614.061,692.021,772.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,501.8649,796.2252,178.39
Equity Value (M)55,285.7757,807.1060,422.09
Shares Outstanding (M)639.10639.10639.10
Fair Value$86.51$90.45$94.54
Upside / Downside149.66%161.04%172.85%

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