Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Relia, Inc. (4708.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$527.93 - $777.49$647.70
Multi-Stage$745.80 - $815.90$780.19
Blended Fair Value$713.95
Current Price$1,457.00
Upside-51.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS4.15%-2.47%43.0044.8240.8439.3338.2635.0930.8530.8630.8446.76
YoY Growth---4.06%9.74%3.84%2.78%9.05%13.75%-0.05%0.06%-34.04%-15.35%
Dividend Yield--2.95%4.19%3.01%3.92%3.04%2.22%2.52%2.90%2.25%4.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,301.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,134.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,166.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)860.20537.63322.58
Cash Retained (M)2,166.012,166.012,166.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-860.20-537.63-322.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,305.811,628.381,843.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)64.8464.8464.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share20.1425.1128.43
LTM Dividend per Share32.9332.9332.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share20.1425.1128.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend53.0758.0461.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-0.10%0.90%1.90%
Fair Value$527.93$647.70$777.49
Upside / Downside-63.77%-55.55%-46.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,301.004,339.594,378.534,417.824,457.464,497.464,632.38
Payout Ratio49.64%57.71%65.78%73.86%81.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,134.992,504.452,880.363,262.823,651.904,047.714,284.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-0.10%0.90%1.90%
Year 1 PV (M)2,255.452,278.032,300.61
Year 2 PV (M)2,336.102,383.102,430.58
Year 3 PV (M)2,383.192,455.482,529.22
Year 4 PV (M)2,402.202,499.842,600.42
Year 5 PV (M)2,397.852,520.292,647.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)36,581.2838,449.2540,392.76
Equity Value (M)48,356.0750,586.0052,901.27
Shares Outstanding (M)64.8464.8464.84
Fair Value$745.80$780.19$815.90
Upside / Downside-48.81%-46.45%-44.00%

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