Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Sanyo Chemical Industries Ltd. (4471.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,783.00 - $7,067.98$5,877.27
Multi-Stage$12,209.35 - $13,471.69$12,827.86
Blended Fair Value$9,352.56
Current Price$4,120.00
Upside127.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.81%8.55%169.97169.70169.20164.28139.37134.39114.64109.5889.6979.79
YoY Growth--0.16%0.29%3.00%17.87%3.70%17.23%4.62%22.18%12.41%6.65%
Dividend Yield--4.65%4.22%3.99%3.45%2.58%2.90%2.00%2.28%1.70%2.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,629.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,760.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,869.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,725.801,703.631,022.18
Cash Retained (M)9,869.009,869.009,869.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,725.80-1,703.63-1,022.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,143.208,165.388,846.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.1222.1222.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share322.91369.12399.92
LTM Dividend per Share169.97169.97169.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share322.91369.12399.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend492.88539.09569.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-3.59%-2.59%-1.59%
Fair Value$4,783.00$5,877.27$7,067.98
Upside / Downside16.09%42.65%71.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,629.0013,275.5512,931.2612,595.9112,269.2511,951.0612,309.59
Payout Ratio27.59%40.07%52.55%65.04%77.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,760.005,319.596,795.768,191.789,510.8310,755.9511,386.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-3.59%-2.59%-1.59%
Year 1 PV (M)4,951.035,002.385,053.74
Year 2 PV (M)5,886.706,009.466,133.48
Year 3 PV (M)6,604.346,812.007,023.96
Year 4 PV (M)7,136.527,437.267,747.41
Year 5 PV (M)7,511.627,909.378,323.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)237,997.80250,599.97263,730.42
Equity Value (M)270,088.01283,770.44298,012.79
Shares Outstanding (M)22.1222.1222.12
Fair Value$12,209.35$12,827.86$13,471.69
Upside / Downside196.34%211.36%226.98%

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