Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jaya Tiasa Holdings Berhad (4383.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.53 - $2.38$1.92
Multi-Stage$3.55 - $3.91$3.73
Blended Fair Value$2.83
Current Price$1.20
Upside135.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.040.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--55.37%-2.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.44%3.85%4.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)157.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.4319.6411.79
Cash Retained (M)93.9893.9893.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.43-19.64-11.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.5574.3382.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)967.99967.99967.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.53$1.92$2.38
Upside / Downside27.65%60.34%98.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)157.15155.57154.02152.48150.95149.44153.93
Payout Ratio40.20%50.16%60.12%70.08%80.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.1778.0392.59106.86120.82134.50142.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)72.6673.4074.14
Year 2 PV (M)80.2881.9383.59
Year 3 PV (M)86.2788.9491.66
Year 4 PV (M)90.8394.5998.47
Year 5 PV (M)94.1599.05104.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,011.993,168.843,332.14
Equity Value (M)3,436.193,606.753,784.18
Shares Outstanding (M)967.99967.99967.99
Fair Value$3.55$3.73$3.91
Upside / Downside195.82%210.50%225.78%

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