Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jadwa Investment - Jadwa Reit Saudi Fund (4342.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.31 - $43.21$30.63
Multi-Stage$30.68 - $33.58$32.10
Blended Fair Value$31.37
Current Price$10.10
Upside210.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS5.57%0.00%0.800.800.800.660.620.610.390.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%21.07%6.85%1.39%56.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.94%5.97%6.28%4.41%4.42%5.45%4.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)260.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)223.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.1032.5619.54
Cash Retained (M)36.6936.6936.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.10-32.56-19.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)-15.414.1317.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)186.51186.51186.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.020.09
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.020.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.221.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Fair Value$22.31$30.63$43.21
Upside / Downside120.85%203.28%327.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)260.51268.33276.39284.69293.23302.04311.10
Payout Ratio85.91%86.73%87.55%88.37%89.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)223.81232.73241.97251.56261.51271.84287.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Year 1 PV (M)215.16217.27219.38
Year 2 PV (M)206.83210.90215.02
Year 3 PV (M)198.80204.70210.73
Year 4 PV (M)191.07198.67206.50
Year 5 PV (M)183.62192.80202.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,726.584,962.855,208.48
Equity Value (M)5,722.055,987.206,262.45
Shares Outstanding (M)186.51186.51186.51
Fair Value$30.68$32.10$33.58
Upside / Downside203.76%217.83%232.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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