Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Al Majed Oud Co. (4165.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.93 - $71.34$60.43
Multi-Stage$84.75 - $92.67$88.64
Blended Fair Value$74.53
Current Price$148.10
Upside-49.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%5.001.583.924.722.920.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--216.46%-59.69%-16.95%61.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.65%1.29%3.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)182.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.5422.8413.70
Cash Retained (M)32.6832.6832.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.54-22.84-13.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.859.8518.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.9924.9924.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.150.390.76
LTM Dividend per Share6.006.006.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.150.390.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.856.406.76
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$49.93$60.43$71.34
Upside / Downside-66.29%-59.20%-51.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)182.68180.86179.05177.26175.48173.73178.94
Payout Ratio82.11%83.69%85.27%86.84%88.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150.00151.35152.67153.94155.17156.36165.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)136.86138.25139.65
Year 2 PV (M)124.82127.38129.97
Year 3 PV (M)113.80117.32120.91
Year 4 PV (M)103.72108.02112.45
Year 5 PV (M)94.5199.43104.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,544.661,625.091,708.84
Equity Value (M)2,118.362,215.492,316.37
Shares Outstanding (M)24.9924.9924.99
Fair Value$84.75$88.64$92.67
Upside / Downside-42.77%-40.15%-37.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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