Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$158.49 - $394.10$237.47
Multi-Stage$113.88 - $124.23$118.96
Blended Fair Value$178.21
Current Price$127.00
Upside40.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS14.33%0.00%3.002.501.561.311.191.541.960.000.000.00
YoY Growth--19.78%60.70%18.97%9.84%-22.34%-21.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.34%2.54%2.95%3.46%3.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,069.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)524.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)545.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)213.86133.6680.20
Cash Retained (M)545.17545.17545.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-213.86-133.66-80.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)331.31411.51464.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)149.82149.82149.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.212.753.10
LTM Dividend per Share3.503.503.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.212.753.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.716.256.60
WACC / Discount Rate9.30%9.30%9.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$158.49$237.47$394.10
Upside / Downside24.79%86.98%210.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,069.301,138.811,212.831,291.661,375.621,465.041,508.99
Payout Ratio49.02%57.21%65.41%73.61%81.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)524.13651.55793.31950.751,125.301,318.531,395.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.30%9.30%9.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)590.51596.10601.70
Year 2 PV (M)651.63664.04676.57
Year 3 PV (M)707.79728.11748.81
Year 4 PV (M)759.25788.45818.48
Year 5 PV (M)806.28845.23885.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,546.4314,200.7314,880.07
Equity Value (M)17,061.9017,822.6618,611.30
Shares Outstanding (M)149.82149.82149.82
Fair Value$113.88$118.96$124.23
Upside / Downside-10.33%-6.33%-2.18%

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