Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PPB Group Berhad (4065.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.48 - $12.94$9.83
Multi-Stage$9.98 - $10.92$10.44
Blended Fair Value$10.13
Current Price$10.20
Upside-0.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.09%7.70%0.420.400.400.490.330.300.280.230.210.20
YoY Growth--5.00%0.70%-18.15%47.78%10.12%7.68%20.40%10.42%4.17%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.65%2.53%2.40%2.84%1.78%1.82%1.51%1.44%1.49%1.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)821.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)597.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)223.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)164.26102.6661.60
Cash Retained (M)223.82223.82223.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-164.26-102.66-61.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.56121.16162.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,422.601,422.601,422.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.090.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.090.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.510.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.11%8.11%8.11%
Growth Rate1.82%2.82%3.82%
Fair Value$7.48$9.83$12.94
Upside / Downside-26.64%-3.65%26.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)821.31844.50868.34892.85918.06943.98972.30
Payout Ratio72.75%76.20%79.65%83.10%86.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)597.49643.50691.63741.96794.58849.58899.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.11%8.11%8.11%
Growth Rate1.82%2.82%3.82%
Year 1 PV (M)589.45595.24601.02
Year 2 PV (M)580.32591.77603.34
Year 3 PV (M)570.26587.22604.52
Year 4 PV (M)559.40581.70604.67
Year 5 PV (M)547.88575.32603.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,354.2811,922.8912,514.06
Equity Value (M)14,201.5914,854.1515,531.46
Shares Outstanding (M)1,422.601,422.601,422.60
Fair Value$9.98$10.44$10.92
Upside / Downside-2.13%2.37%7.04%

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