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EEKA Fashion Holdings Limited (3709.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.91 - $333.81$148.13
Multi-Stage$37.98 - $41.49$39.71
Blended Fair Value$93.92
Current Price$7.22
Upside1,200.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.43%33.73%0.650.360.410.310.270.200.230.000.090.06
YoY Growth--77.72%-11.76%33.48%14.03%35.32%-12.19%0.00%-100.00%60.65%65.41%
Dividend Yield--7.97%2.83%4.17%2.85%2.25%2.47%2.65%0.00%1.24%0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,149.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)671.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)477.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)229.80143.6386.18
Cash Retained (M)477.83477.83477.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-229.80-143.63-86.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)248.02334.20391.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)684.55684.55684.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.490.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.490.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.341.471.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$68.91$148.13$333.81
Upside / Downside854.38%1,951.71%4,523.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,149.011,223.691,303.231,387.941,478.161,574.241,621.47
Payout Ratio58.41%64.73%71.05%77.37%83.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)671.18792.11925.931,073.791,236.961,416.821,499.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)729.55736.46743.38
Year 2 PV (M)785.44800.40815.50
Year 3 PV (M)838.93863.01887.55
Year 4 PV (M)890.09924.32959.52
Year 5 PV (M)938.98984.331,031.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,818.1922,872.0123,966.17
Equity Value (M)26,001.1727,180.5428,403.55
Shares Outstanding (M)684.55684.55684.55
Fair Value$37.98$39.71$41.49
Upside / Downside426.08%449.94%474.68%

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