Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

AIC Inc. (3693.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$111.22 - $156.91$133.85
Multi-Stage$175.00 - $191.43$183.06
Blended Fair Value$158.45
Current Price$238.00
Upside-33.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%8.745.241.310.610.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--66.67%300.00%114.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.88%1.44%1.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)763.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)472.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)290.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)152.7095.4457.26
Cash Retained (M)290.61290.61290.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-152.70-95.44-57.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)137.91195.17233.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.0544.0544.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.134.435.30
LTM Dividend per Share10.7410.7410.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.134.435.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.8715.1716.03
WACC / Discount Rate10.22%10.22%10.22%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$111.22$133.85$156.91
Upside / Downside-53.27%-43.76%-34.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)763.50755.87748.31740.83733.42726.08747.87
Payout Ratio61.94%67.55%73.16%78.78%84.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)472.90510.59547.48583.59618.91653.48691.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.22%10.22%10.22%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)458.58463.26467.94
Year 2 PV (M)441.62450.68459.83
Year 3 PV (M)422.79435.87449.21
Year 4 PV (M)402.71419.40436.60
Year 5 PV (M)381.88401.77422.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,601.105,892.776,196.45
Equity Value (M)7,708.698,063.748,432.51
Shares Outstanding (M)44.0544.0544.05
Fair Value$175.00$183.06$191.43
Upside / Downside-26.47%-23.08%-19.57%

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