Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Marimo Regional Revitalization REIT, Inc. (3470.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,141,776.64 - $2,639,774.29$2,473,855.11
Multi-Stage$397,885.34 - $435,129.47$416,166.69
Blended Fair Value$1,445,010.90
Current Price$107,500.00
Upside1,244.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.05%0.00%6,626.826,218.965,216.644,251.774,172.063,588.683,001.112,457.840.000.00
YoY Growth--6.56%19.21%22.69%1.91%16.26%19.58%22.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.31%5.10%3.99%3.22%3.76%2.77%2.88%2.20%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,391.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,133.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,258.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)678.30423.94254.36
Cash Retained (M)1,258.051,258.051,258.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-678.30-423.94-254.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)579.75834.111,003.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.260.260.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,269.003,264.513,928.19
LTM Dividend per Share8,349.838,349.838,349.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,269.003,264.513,928.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend10,618.8311,614.3412,278.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,141,776.64$2,473,855.11$2,639,774.29
Upside / Downside962.12%2,201.26%2,355.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,391.513,611.963,846.744,096.774,363.064,646.664,786.06
Payout Ratio62.91%68.32%73.74%79.16%84.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,133.462,467.862,836.723,243.103,690.334,182.004,427.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,295.892,317.652,339.41
Year 2 PV (M)2,455.142,501.902,549.11
Year 3 PV (M)2,611.262,686.222,762.60
Year 4 PV (M)2,764.302,870.612,979.95
Year 5 PV (M)2,914.303,055.063,201.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)88,622.5092,903.0097,347.32
Equity Value (M)101,663.39106,334.44111,179.61
Shares Outstanding (M)0.260.260.26
Fair Value$397,885.34$416,166.69$435,129.47
Upside / Downside270.13%287.13%304.77%

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