Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Teijin Limited (3401.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,327.33 - $2,050.21$1,662.87
Multi-Stage$1,860.56 - $2,038.96$1,948.07
Blended Fair Value$1,805.47
Current Price$1,258.50
Upside43.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-10.51%6.96%39.9827.4654.8552.3154.7869.6760.6461.2545.9125.50
YoY Growth--45.60%-49.94%4.85%-4.50%-21.37%14.88%-0.98%33.39%80.08%25.04%
Dividend Yield--3.42%2.05%3.80%3.70%3.24%4.06%3.24%3.01%2.12%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,906.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,635.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,271.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,381.203,363.252,017.95
Cash Retained (M)17,271.0017,271.0017,271.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,381.20-3,363.25-2,017.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,889.8013,907.7515,253.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)192.73192.73192.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share61.6972.1679.14
LTM Dividend per Share49.9949.9949.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share61.6972.1679.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend111.68122.15129.13
WACC / Discount Rate8.95%8.95%8.95%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Fair Value$1,327.33$1,662.87$2,050.21
Upside / Downside5.47%32.13%62.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,906.0027,307.1427,714.2628,127.4528,546.7928,972.3929,841.57
Payout Ratio35.81%46.65%57.49%68.32%79.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,635.0012,738.2015,931.7919,217.7822,598.2026,075.1527,603.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.95%8.95%8.95%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Year 1 PV (M)11,576.9711,692.1811,807.38
Year 2 PV (M)13,159.4713,422.6813,688.49
Year 3 PV (M)14,426.6014,861.5815,305.22
Year 4 PV (M)15,417.7716,040.6916,682.30
Year 5 PV (M)16,168.1916,988.8217,842.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)287,837.11302,446.55317,643.27
Equity Value (M)358,586.12375,452.50392,969.11
Shares Outstanding (M)192.73192.73192.73
Fair Value$1,860.56$1,948.07$2,038.96
Upside / Downside47.84%54.79%62.02%

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