Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment Corporation (3249.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,212,616.28 - $2,803,322.45$2,627,123.68
Multi-Stage$431,185.18 - $471,068.44$450,763.81
Blended Fair Value$1,538,943.75
Current Price$123,700.00
Upside1,144.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.88%10.60%6,692.415,549.255,333.885,424.584,949.194,580.873,826.773,611.952,593.422,762.27
YoY Growth--20.60%4.04%-1.67%9.61%8.04%19.71%5.95%39.27%-6.11%13.02%
Dividend Yield--5.77%4.49%3.58%2.91%2.34%2.32%2.69%2.99%2.08%1.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34,032.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32,031.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,001.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,806.574,254.112,552.46
Cash Retained (M)2,001.402,001.402,001.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,806.57-4,254.11-2,552.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4,805.17-2,252.71-551.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.412.412.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1,990.23-933.04-228.24
LTM Dividend per Share13,266.9513,266.9513,266.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1,990.23-933.04-228.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend11,276.7212,333.9113,038.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,212,616.28$2,627,123.68$2,803,322.45
Upside / Downside880.29%2,023.79%2,166.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34,032.8436,244.9838,600.9041,109.9643,782.1146,627.9448,026.78
Payout Ratio94.12%93.30%92.47%91.65%90.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32,031.4533,814.8935,694.8437,676.3339,764.5941,965.1544,424.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)31,458.5231,756.7032,054.89
Year 2 PV (M)30,893.4331,481.8632,075.85
Year 3 PV (M)30,336.0931,206.9332,094.28
Year 4 PV (M)29,786.3930,931.8932,110.12
Year 5 PV (M)29,244.2530,656.7632,123.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)889,325.56932,280.32976,879.06
Equity Value (M)1,041,044.241,088,314.461,137,337.51
Shares Outstanding (M)2.412.412.41
Fair Value$431,185.18$450,763.81$471,068.44
Upside / Downside248.57%264.40%280.82%

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