Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Saibo Co., Ltd. (3123.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$882.09 - $1,646.76$1,194.34
Multi-Stage$1,532.11 - $1,684.52$1,606.85
Blended Fair Value$1,400.59
Current Price$496.00
Upside182.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS2.75%0.00%16.0616.0614.0514.0514.0414.030.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.02%14.30%0.02%0.09%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.24%3.16%3.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)774.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)566.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)154.8596.7858.07
Cash Retained (M)566.18566.18566.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-154.85-96.78-58.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)411.33469.40508.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0313.0313.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share31.5736.0339.00
LTM Dividend per Share15.9715.9715.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share31.5736.0339.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend47.5451.9954.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Fair Value$882.09$1,194.34$1,646.76
Upside / Downside77.84%140.79%232.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)774.26787.79801.56815.56829.81844.32869.64
Payout Ratio26.87%39.50%52.12%64.75%77.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208.08311.17417.81528.07642.07759.88804.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Year 1 PV (M)290.19293.07295.95
Year 2 PV (M)363.36370.61377.93
Year 3 PV (M)428.29441.17454.30
Year 4 PV (M)485.63505.20525.35
Year 5 PV (M)535.98563.11591.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,859.4518,763.5719,703.94
Equity Value (M)19,962.8920,936.7321,948.81
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0313.0313.03
Fair Value$1,532.11$1,606.85$1,684.52
Upside / Downside208.89%223.96%239.62%

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