Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ningbo Jianan Electronics Co.,Ltd (300880.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.18 - $4.57$3.86
Multi-Stage$5.62 - $6.14$5.88
Blended Fair Value$4.87
Current Price$19.78
Upside-75.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.300.500.250.140.000.000.050.000.010.00
YoY Growth---39.69%101.21%80.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%2.89%1.43%0.84%0.00%0.00%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)89.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.8011.126.67
Cash Retained (M)1.111.111.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.80-11.12-6.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)-16.69-10.02-5.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)195.07195.07195.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.09-0.05-0.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.09-0.05-0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.23%9.23%9.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.18$3.86$4.57
Upside / Downside-83.90%-80.47%-76.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)89.0088.1187.2386.3585.4984.6387.17
Payout Ratio98.75%97.00%95.25%93.50%91.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.8985.4783.0880.7478.4476.1780.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.23%9.23%9.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)77.4578.2479.03
Year 2 PV (M)68.2469.6471.05
Year 3 PV (M)60.0961.9563.85
Year 4 PV (M)52.9155.1057.36
Year 5 PV (M)46.5648.9951.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)791.05832.24875.13
Equity Value (M)1,096.301,146.151,197.93
Shares Outstanding (M)195.07195.07195.07
Fair Value$5.62$5.88$6.14
Upside / Downside-71.59%-70.30%-68.95%

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