Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Guangzhou Haoyang Electronic Co.,Ltd. (300833.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$188.77 - $269.43$252.41
Multi-Stage$136.13 - $149.78$142.82
Blended Fair Value$197.61
Current Price$42.99
Upside359.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS448.87%0.00%1.601.450.530.270.000.000.000.000.090.07
YoY Growth--10.54%171.39%99.85%0.00%-100.00%-91.66%-12.28%-95.31%29.93%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.10%2.26%0.75%0.61%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.01%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)177.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)164.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.5222.2013.32
Cash Retained (M)13.1313.1313.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.52-22.20-13.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)-22.38-9.07-0.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)126.50126.50126.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.18-0.070.00
LTM Dividend per Share1.301.301.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.18-0.070.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate2.34%2.34%2.34%
Growth Rate1.74%2.74%3.74%
Fair Value$188.77$252.41$269.43
Upside / Downside339.10%487.14%526.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)177.59182.45187.45192.58197.86203.28209.37
Payout Ratio92.60%92.08%91.56%91.04%90.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)164.45168.01171.63175.33179.10182.95193.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.34%2.34%2.34%
Growth Rate1.74%2.74%3.74%
Year 1 PV (M)162.56164.16165.76
Year 2 PV (M)160.68163.86167.06
Year 3 PV (M)158.83163.56168.38
Year 4 PV (M)156.98163.25169.70
Year 5 PV (M)155.16162.93171.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,425.0017,248.2418,104.16
Equity Value (M)17,219.2118,065.9918,946.07
Shares Outstanding (M)126.50126.50126.50
Fair Value$136.13$142.82$149.78
Upside / Downside216.64%232.21%248.40%

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