Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Bausen Inc. (2948.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Home ImprovementSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.19 - $106.75$67.56
Multi-Stage$35.32 - $38.45$36.85
Blended Fair Value$52.21
Current Price$38.90
Upside34.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS37.50%0.00%2.382.442.181.250.470.490.420.000.000.00
YoY Growth---2.19%11.76%74.35%165.28%-2.77%16.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.95%4.06%3.35%1.86%0.73%1.11%0.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.648.525.11
Cash Retained (M)13.5813.5813.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.64-8.52-5.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.065.068.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.5330.5330.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.170.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.791.791.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.170.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.952.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$46.19$67.56$106.75
Upside / Downside18.75%73.68%174.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.1872.6177.3382.3687.7193.4196.21
Payout Ratio80.08%82.07%84.05%86.03%88.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.6059.5965.0070.8577.2084.0789.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)53.8754.3854.89
Year 2 PV (M)53.1254.1355.15
Year 3 PV (M)52.3553.8555.38
Year 4 PV (M)51.5653.5455.58
Year 5 PV (M)50.7653.2155.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)816.54855.98896.93
Equity Value (M)1,078.191,125.091,173.68
Shares Outstanding (M)30.5330.5330.53
Fair Value$35.32$36.85$38.45
Upside / Downside-9.21%-5.26%-1.17%

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