Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Asiana IDT, Inc. (267850.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,985.82 - $13,247.62$11,030.00
Multi-Stage$17,836.92 - $19,615.27$18,708.68
Blended Fair Value$14,869.34
Current Price$11,950.00
Upside24.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%499.82499.82499.820.00499.82499.82450.290.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%11.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.77%2.89%3.34%0.00%2.31%4.54%3.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,811.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,550.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,261.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,562.251,601.41960.85
Cash Retained (M)7,261.277,261.277,261.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,562.25-1,601.41-960.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,699.015,659.866,300.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.1011.1011.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share423.18509.71567.40
LTM Dividend per Share499.82499.82499.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share423.18509.71567.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend923.001,009.531,067.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.55%7.55%7.55%
Growth Rate-2.47%-1.47%-0.47%
Fair Value$8,985.82$11,030.00$13,247.62
Upside / Downside-24.80%-7.70%10.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,811.2712,623.1412,437.7712,255.1312,075.1711,897.8512,254.78
Payout Ratio43.32%52.66%61.99%71.33%80.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,550.006,646.977,710.528,741.409,740.3410,708.0611,335.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.55%7.55%7.55%
Growth Rate-2.47%-1.47%-0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)6,117.646,180.366,243.09
Year 2 PV (M)6,531.376,665.996,801.98
Year 3 PV (M)6,814.947,026.727,242.84
Year 4 PV (M)6,989.017,280.097,580.16
Year 5 PV (M)7,071.527,441.567,826.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)164,536.65173,146.45182,112.96
Equity Value (M)198,061.14207,741.17217,807.96
Shares Outstanding (M)11.1011.1011.10
Fair Value$17,836.92$18,708.68$19,615.27
Upside / Downside49.26%56.56%64.14%

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