Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wellnet Corporation (2428.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$514.00 - $780.54$639.20
Multi-Stage$742.80 - $814.05$777.75
Blended Fair Value$708.47
Current Price$716.00
Upside-1.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-14.92%-0.91%22.0316.7314.0515.3313.0049.4048.9149.7439.2025.14
YoY Growth--31.68%19.08%-8.38%17.96%-73.69%1.01%-1.68%26.91%55.94%4.18%
Dividend Yield--3.08%2.26%2.39%2.59%2.47%8.26%6.88%4.80%3.29%1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,090.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)417.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)672.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)218.02136.2681.76
Cash Retained (M)672.73672.73672.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-218.02-136.26-81.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)454.71536.47590.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.9618.9618.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share23.9828.2931.16
LTM Dividend per Share22.0122.0122.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share23.9828.2931.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend45.9950.3053.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate0.08%1.08%2.08%
Fair Value$514.00$639.20$780.54
Upside / Downside-28.21%-10.73%9.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,090.101,101.861,113.741,125.741,137.881,150.151,184.65
Payout Ratio38.29%48.63%58.97%69.32%79.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)417.38535.83656.80780.31906.411,035.131,095.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate0.08%1.08%2.08%
Year 1 PV (M)486.59491.45496.31
Year 2 PV (M)541.62552.49563.48
Year 3 PV (M)584.33602.02620.06
Year 4 PV (M)616.37641.38667.14
Year 5 PV (M)639.21671.79705.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,218.5711,790.3812,385.26
Equity Value (M)14,086.6814,749.5015,437.93
Shares Outstanding (M)18.9618.9618.96
Fair Value$742.80$777.75$814.05
Upside / Downside3.74%8.62%13.69%

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