Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

China Isotope & Radiation Corporation (1763.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.81 - $72.49$52.55
Multi-Stage$47.91 - $52.52$50.17
Blended Fair Value$51.36
Current Price$13.54
Upside279.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.23%0.00%0.390.440.380.180.140.310.280.551.000.00
YoY Growth---12.53%16.62%109.60%29.80%-55.67%10.74%-49.02%-44.35%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.78%3.74%3.20%1.01%0.62%1.67%2.08%3.32%5.54%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)822.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)264.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)558.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)164.54102.8461.70
Cash Retained (M)558.43558.43558.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-164.54-102.84-61.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)393.89455.59496.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)319.87319.87319.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.421.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.830.830.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.421.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.062.252.38
WACC / Discount Rate7.65%7.65%7.65%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Fair Value$38.81$52.55$72.49
Upside / Downside186.60%288.14%435.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)822.71849.32876.79905.14934.42964.64993.58
Payout Ratio32.12%43.70%55.27%66.85%78.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)264.28371.14484.63605.08732.81868.17919.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.65%7.65%7.65%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Year 1 PV (M)341.41344.75348.09
Year 2 PV (M)410.10418.16426.30
Year 3 PV (M)471.01484.97499.20
Year 4 PV (M)524.75545.58567.03
Year 5 PV (M)571.88600.40630.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,005.6313,654.2714,328.53
Equity Value (M)15,324.7816,048.1316,799.20
Shares Outstanding (M)319.87319.87319.87
Fair Value$47.91$50.17$52.52
Upside / Downside253.83%270.53%287.87%

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